The Beagle
Dec 5, 2021
Updated: Dec 6, 2021
Welcome to Monday Dec 6th where the counting continues to see who will become the next Mayor and councillors for Eurobodalla Shire
as at 9:28am the following counts have been for the Mayoral position:
Given that these only represent 28.2% of the total possible votes it is early days still.
If you wanted to project the figures to a final winner you will need to look at where candidate preferences lie as there will be no clear winner across the line with more than 50% of all the votes. That is where preference deals click in.
Based on the numbers we have already you could play the game:
Round 1.
Who is the lowest? Gary Smith.
Gary gave his 2nd Preference to Tubby Harrison - this will now give Tubby a new total of 1180 + 189 = 1369
Round 2.
Who has the next lowest? Alison Worthington.
Alison gave the 2nd preference to David Grace - this will now give David a new total of 1219 + 1067 = 2286
Round 3.
Who has the next lowest? Karyn Starmerwith 1344
Karyn gave the 2nd preference to David Grace - this will now give David a new total of 2286 + 1344 = 3680
Round 4.
Who has the next lowest? Rob Pollock
Rob did not preference - his votes dissolve
(note: If he did give preferences he gave them to Tubby Harrison - this would have the effect of giving Tubby 2746 votes)
Tally so far - David Grace 3680 - Tubby Harrison 1369 (or 2746 depending on what Rob Pollock did) - Mat Hatcher 2120.
Road 5.
Who has the next lowest? 1st option - Tubby Harrison
Tubby gave the 2nd preference to Mat Hatcher - this will now give Mat a new total of 2120 + 1369 = 3489
This would then see a two horse race between David Grace on 3680 and Mat Hatcher on 3489 (keep in mind that this is only a projection based on the current 28.2% of votes counted)
BUT - what if Pollock did give his preferences to Tubby?
Then Mat would be the next lowest and he would give his preferences to.... Tubby
That would then see a two horse race between David Grace on 3680 and Tubby on 4858.